Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.245754 0.278915 0.314391 0.355111 0.400497 0.449469 0.506248
2025-10-19 0.201411 0.245842 0.296454 0.358163 0.431151 0.514496 0.616630
2025-10-26 0.172571 0.224293 0.286462 0.366239 0.465389 0.584023 0.736119
2025-11-02 0.151803 0.208658 0.280327 0.376501 0.501274 0.656663 0.863667
2025-11-09 0.130878 0.189520 0.266766 0.374764 0.520440 0.708508 0.967760
2025-11-16 0.114431 0.173890 0.255448 0.373819 0.539202 0.759710 1.073069
2025-11-23 0.100754 0.160196 0.244871 0.372092 0.555678 0.807757 1.175981
2025-11-30 0.092144 0.152674 0.241900 0.380198 0.585608 0.875100 1.308364
2025-12-07 0.082742 0.142734 0.234162 0.380200 0.603191 0.925365 1.418768
2025-12-14 0.074668 0.133875 0.227018 0.380088 0.619977 0.974708 1.529729
2025-12-21 0.067832 0.126205 0.220856 0.380662 0.637324 1.025208 1.644341
2025-12-28 0.063048 0.121421 0.218772 0.387279 0.664071 1.090769 1.784325
2026-01-04 0.059203 0.118030 0.218932 0.397955 0.698624 1.171266 1.953260
2026-01-11 0.054492 0.112546 0.215003 0.401385 0.721480 1.234578 2.098660
2026-01-18 0.051137 0.109189 0.214419 0.410356 0.753898 1.314593 2.274309
2026-01-25 0.048440 0.106776 0.215250 0.421734 0.790905 1.403708 2.468696
2026-02-01 0.044198 0.100814 0.208997 0.419819 0.804616 1.454851 2.603091
2026-02-08 0.040512 0.095542 0.203521 0.418777 0.819558 1.508474 2.743722
2026-02-15 0.037100 0.090440 0.197872 0.416868 0.832605 1.559204 2.881423
2026-02-22 0.035192 0.088361 0.197968 0.425844 0.865904 1.646307 3.084918
2026-03-01 0.032533 0.084295 0.193669 0.425847 0.882354 1.704388 3.240352
2026-03-08 0.030105 0.080469 0.189501 0.425722 0.898397 1.762262 3.397634
2026-03-15 0.027961 0.077051 0.185873 0.426359 0.915797 1.823183 3.562665